Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 9:09 PM to 9:38 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 9:09 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.5963. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:38 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.7612.3837.53Sep 15, 9:09 PM ET9:38 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:09 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.7612.3837.53Sep 15, 9:09 PM ET9:38 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:09 PM ET34.5963
Projected value at 9:38 PM ET-7.41175
Actual value at 9:38 PM ET-15.4309
Projected change across the window-42.0081
Actual change across the window-50.0272
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (9:28 PM ET), where they sat 0.488285 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:09 PM ET) with a gap of 50.7362. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (9:19 PM ET), a move of -7.72132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:10 PM-12.121235.0676+47.1889
69:15 PM9.5140839.5044+29.9903
129:21 PM6.084854.04926-2.03559
189:27 PM-4.25334-7.75662-3.50327
249:33 PM-7.75537-7.23382+0.521543
299:38 PM-7.41175-15.4309-8.01914

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.