Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 7:00 PM to 7:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.40074. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.6281.5318.691Sep 15, 7:00 PM ET7:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.6281.5318.691Sep 15, 7:00 PM ET7:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:00 PM ET9.40074
Projected value at 7:29 PM ET-0.115541
Actual value at 7:29 PM ET-6.58971
Projected change across the window-9.51628
Actual change across the window-15.9904
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (7:21 PM ET), where they sat 0.3664 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (7:02 PM ET) with a gap of 7.73734. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (7:27 PM ET), a move of -2.98456. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:01 PM2.399519.65221+7.25269
67:06 PM-0.08658440.284559+0.371143
127:12 PM-0.769199-1.17353-0.404331
187:18 PM-0.584217-3.05882-2.47461
247:24 PM-0.7531654+4.75316
297:29 PM-0.115541-6.58971-6.47416

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.