Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 4:58 PM to 5:27 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 4:58 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.1875. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:27 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.22-3.6817.86Sep 15, 4:58 PM ET5:27 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:58 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.22-3.6817.86Sep 15, 4:58 PM ET5:27 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:58 PM ET13.1875
Projected value at 5:27 PM ET0.147789
Actual value at 5:27 PM ET0.853676
Projected change across the window-13.0397
Actual change across the window-12.3338
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (5:23 PM ET), where they sat 0.241423 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (5:15 PM ET) with a gap of 28.472. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (5:06 PM ET), a move of -6.19412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:59 PM5.3392815.9221+10.5828
65:04 PM3.3795716.7103+13.3307
125:10 PM1.42606-15.4206-16.8467
185:16 PM0.444908-27.6985-28.1434
245:22 PM0.0315635-3.65515-3.68671
295:27 PM0.1477890.853676+0.705887

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.