Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 4:07 PM to 4:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 4:07 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -3.65515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.11635.1Sep 15, 4:07 PM ET4:36 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.11635.1Sep 15, 4:07 PM ET4:36 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:07 PM ET-3.65515
Projected value at 4:36 PM ET-0.639987
Actual value at 4:36 PM ET-0.977206
Projected change across the window+3.01516
Actual change across the window+2.67794
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (4:28 PM ET), where they sat 0.0116444 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:07 PM ET) with a gap of 41.3176. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (4:26 PM ET), a move of +4.50221. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:08 PM36.2626-0.127206-36.3898
64:13 PM27.91691.22279-26.6941
124:19 PM19.2198-1.01103-20.2309
184:25 PM10.4334-4.39485-14.8283
244:31 PM2.307844.36765+2.05981
294:36 PM-0.639987-0.977206-0.337219

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.