Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 2:27 PM to 2:56 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 2:27 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -55.7985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:56 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-55.42-25.554.321Sep 15, 2:27 PM ET2:56 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-55.42-25.554.321Sep 15, 2:27 PM ET2:56 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:27 PM ET-55.7985
Projected value at 2:56 PM ET1.66828
Actual value at 2:56 PM ET8.04191
Projected change across the window+57.4668
Actual change across the window+63.8404
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (2:51 PM ET), where they sat 0.380106 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (2:28 PM ET) with a gap of 58.6565. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (2:48 PM ET), a move of +7.96912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:28 PM-0.77149-59.4279-58.6565
62:33 PM-0.748659-40.6243-39.8756
122:39 PM-1.02208-55.5331-54.511
182:45 PM0.0920854-32.2699-32.3619
242:51 PM1.258131.63824+0.380106
292:56 PM1.668288.04191+6.37363

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.