Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 2:25 PM to 2:54 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 2:25 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -57.9206. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:54 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-54-24.794.41Sep 15, 2:25 PM ET2:54 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:25 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-54-24.794.41Sep 15, 2:25 PM ET2:54 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:25 PM ET-57.9206
Projected value at 2:54 PM ET0.20568
Actual value at 2:54 PM ET4.85809
Projected change across the window+58.1263
Actual change across the window+62.7787
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (2:47 PM ET), where they sat 1.23802 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:25 PM ET) with a gap of 57.7656. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (2:44 PM ET), a move of +7.96912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:26 PM-0.463905-53.9471-53.4832
62:31 PM-1.02024-45.4412-44.4209
122:37 PM-1.5578-48.15-46.5922
182:43 PM-0.653488-22.5007-21.8472
242:49 PM1.205327.41544+6.21012
292:54 PM0.205684.85809+4.65241

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.