Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 2:24 PM to 2:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -53.9471. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-51.75-23.64.552Sep 15, 2:24 PM ET2:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-51.75-23.64.552Sep 15, 2:24 PM ET2:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:24 PM ET-53.9471
Projected value at 2:53 PM ET0.359619
Actual value at 2:53 PM ET3.33456
Projected change across the window+54.3067
Actual change across the window+57.2816
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (2:45 PM ET), where they sat 2.38616 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (2:33 PM ET) with a gap of 54.0267. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (2:42 PM ET), a move of +7.96912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:25 PM-0.184684-49.6287-49.444
62:30 PM-1.29816-50.1485-48.8504
122:36 PM-2.07266-44.2522-42.1795
182:42 PM-1.22796-14.5316-13.3037
242:48 PM0.745818.33235+7.58654
292:53 PM0.3596193.33456+2.97494

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.