Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 2:22 PM to 2:51 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -43.5154. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:51 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-51.75-23.64.552Sep 15, 2:22 PM ET2:51 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-51.75-23.64.552Sep 15, 2:22 PM ET2:51 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:22 PM ET-43.5154
Projected value at 2:51 PM ET0.320997
Actual value at 2:51 PM ET3.48529
Projected change across the window+43.8364
Actual change across the window+47.0007
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (2:40 PM ET), where they sat 1.60775 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (2:29 PM ET) with a gap of 54.1279. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (2:38 PM ET), a move of +7.96912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:23 PM-0.240902-40.6243-40.3834
62:28 PM-1.24076-54.414-53.1732
122:34 PM-1.9077-35.8574-33.9497
182:40 PM-1.88416-3.49191-1.60775
242:46 PM-0.73178.04191+8.77361
292:51 PM0.3209973.48529+3.1643

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.