Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 1:32 PM to 2:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -23.1485. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.64-10.40.8419Sep 15, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.64-10.40.8419Sep 15, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:32 PM ET-23.1485
Projected value at 2:01 PM ET-1.56762
Actual value at 2:01 PM ET-0.594118
Projected change across the window+21.5809
Actual change across the window+22.5544
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (2:00 PM ET), where they sat 0.336947 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (1:43 PM ET) with a gap of 17.1882. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (1:34 PM ET), a move of +6.05147. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:33 PM-5.26362-20.136-14.8724
61:38 PM-1.9788-9.58529-7.6065
121:44 PM-1.55214-17.8404-16.2883
181:50 PM-0.364117-5.87647-5.51235
241:56 PM0.5156642.08897+1.57331
292:01 PM-1.56762-0.594118+0.973499

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.