Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 1:31 PM to 2:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.136. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.8-8.8921.02Sep 15, 1:31 PM ET2:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.8-8.8921.02Sep 15, 1:31 PM ET2:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:31 PM ET-20.136
Projected value at 2:00 PM ET-0.0339223
Actual value at 2:00 PM ET-1.31912
Projected change across the window+20.1021
Actual change across the window+18.8169
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (1:58 PM ET), where they sat 0.238946 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (1:41 PM ET) with a gap of 15.6239. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:32 PM ET), a move of +6.05147. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:32 PM-7.26103-14.0846-6.82353
61:37 PM-3.82352-11.9507-8.12722
121:43 PM-2.85436-16.2199-13.3655
181:49 PM-0.731822-3.52868-2.79685
241:55 PM0.4132362.35147+1.93823
292:00 PM-0.0339223-1.31912-1.2852

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.