Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:33 AM to 12:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:33 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.9125. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.44422.6842.91Sep 14, 11:33 AM ET12:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.44422.6842.91Sep 14, 11:33 AM ET12:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:33 AM ET19.9125
Projected value at 12:02 PM ET-0.273596
Actual value at 12:02 PM ET3.51397
Projected change across the window-20.1861
Actual change across the window-16.3985
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.23×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.23 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:54 AM ET), where they sat 0.516816 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (11:36 AM ET) with a gap of 21.5419. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:34 AM ET), a move of +2.91103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:34 AM42.45222.8235-19.6285
611:39 AM37.70217.4566-20.2454
1211:45 AM24.802111.5147-13.2874
1811:51 AM11.5377.76912-3.76793
2411:57 AM1.9516910.0368+8.08508
2912:02 PM-0.2735963.51397+3.78757

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.