Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:32 AM to 12:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:32 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.8235. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.258116.433.06Sep 14, 11:32 AM ET12:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.258116.433.06Sep 14, 11:32 AM ET12:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:32 AM ET22.8235
Projected value at 12:01 PM ET-1.87814
Actual value at 12:01 PM ET3.1625
Projected change across the window-24.7017
Actual change across the window-19.661
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.26×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.26 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (11:46 AM ET), where they sat 0.163377 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:32 AM ET) with a gap of 12.4783. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (11:37 AM ET), a move of -2.83382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:33 AM32.897123.85-9.04705
611:38 AM20.764214.8449-5.91931
1211:44 AM12.146211.2243-0.92196
1811:50 AM4.420426.52941+2.10899
2411:56 AM-0.103469.39338+9.49684
2912:01 PM-1.878143.1625+5.04064

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.