Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:31 AM to 12:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.85. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.960817.1735.31Sep 14, 11:31 AM ET12:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.960817.1735.31Sep 14, 11:31 AM ET12:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:31 AM ET23.85
Projected value at 12:00 PM ET-3.39613
Actual value at 12:00 PM ET4.00809
Projected change across the window-27.2461
Actual change across the window-19.8419
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.37×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.37 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (11:48 AM ET), where they sat 1.04766 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:31 AM ET) with a gap of 13.8908. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (11:35 AM ET), a move of -2.83382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:32 AM36.376824.0846-12.2923
611:37 AM23.745312.5338-11.2115
1211:43 AM14.326510.3154-4.01104
1811:49 AM6.301227.70147+1.40025
2411:55 AM0.6387627.78897+7.15021
2912:00 PM-3.396134.00809+7.40422

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.