Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:30 AM to 11:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 24.0846. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.771617.9335.08Sep 14, 11:30 AM ET11:59 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.771617.9335.08Sep 14, 11:30 AM ET11:59 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:30 AM ET24.0846
Projected value at 11:59 AM ET-1.5326
Actual value at 11:59 AM ET3.35588
Projected change across the window-25.6172
Actual change across the window-20.7287
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (11:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.287269 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (11:35 AM ET) with a gap of 15.1647. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (11:33 AM ET), a move of -2.83382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:31 AM35.914722.7566-13.1581
611:36 AM25.615711.8301-13.7856
1211:42 AM14.67199.29485-5.37704
1811:48 AM7.252447.53971+0.287269
2411:54 AM1.376877.59853+6.22166
2911:59 AM-1.53263.35588+4.88848

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.