Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:27 AM to 11:56 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:27 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.2904. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:56 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.89417.1833.47Sep 14, 11:27 AM ET11:56 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:27 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.89417.1833.47Sep 14, 11:27 AM ET11:56 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:27 AM ET20.2904
Projected value at 11:56 AM ET-1.29339
Actual value at 11:56 AM ET4.42059
Projected change across the window-21.5838
Actual change across the window-15.8699
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.36×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.36 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (11:44 AM ET), where they sat 0.913656 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:29 AM ET) with a gap of 18.9734. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:28 AM ET), a move of -2.83382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:28 AM35.65617.4566-18.1993
611:33 AM25.418411.4816-13.9368
1211:39 AM13.68928.91176-4.77748
1811:45 AM7.142348.51838+1.37605
2411:51 AM1.428543.51397+2.08543
2911:56 AM-1.293394.42059+5.71398

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.