Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:26 AM to 11:55 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:26 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.4566. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:55 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.99616.8131.62Sep 14, 11:26 AM ET11:55 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:26 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.99616.8131.62Sep 14, 11:26 AM ET11:55 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:26 AM ET17.4566
Projected value at 11:55 AM ET0.00639606
Actual value at 11:55 AM ET3.71103
Projected change across the window-17.4502
Actual change across the window-13.7456
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.27×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.27 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (11:43 AM ET), where they sat 0.922879 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:28 AM ET) with a gap of 20.4816. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:27 AM ET), a move of -2.61176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:27 AM33.430114.8449-18.5852
611:32 AM23.134411.5147-11.6197
1211:38 AM11.67717.76912-3.90803
1811:44 AM6.4531410.0368+3.58363
2411:50 AM1.352873.1625+1.80963
2911:55 AM0.006396063.71103+3.70463

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.