Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:17 PM to 4:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:17 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.914. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.53-7.0886.35Sep 11, 4:17 PM ET4:46 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.53-7.0886.35Sep 11, 4:17 PM ET4:46 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:17 PM ET-17.914
Projected value at 4:46 PM ET-0.944509
Actual value at 4:46 PM ET2.65515
Projected change across the window+16.9695
Actual change across the window+20.5691
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (4:43 PM ET), where they sat 0.456907 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (4:37 PM ET) with a gap of 19.5806. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (4:31 PM ET), a move of -5.29706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:18 PM-14.0676-16.4412-2.37358
64:23 PM-8.63879-1.725+6.91379
124:29 PM-5.232767.96838+13.2011
184:35 PM-3.07636-18.3647-15.2883
244:41 PM-2.09767-9.50074-7.40306
294:46 PM-0.9445092.65515+3.59966

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.