Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 1:06 PM to 1:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 1:06 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 68.7037. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

4.00244.0984.17Sep 11, 1:06 PM ET1:35 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

4.00244.0984.17Sep 11, 1:06 PM ET1:35 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:06 PM ET68.7037
Projected value at 1:35 PM ET-1.38145
Actual value at 1:35 PM ET13.9412
Projected change across the window-70.0851
Actual change across the window-54.7625
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.28×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.28 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (1:26 PM ET), where they sat 11.3673 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (1:10 PM ET) with a gap of 76.1765. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (1:08 PM ET), a move of +8.70735. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:07 PM15.450775.9287+60.478
61:12 PM11.540183.1478+71.6077
121:18 PM6.2850763.2066+56.9215
181:24 PM3.1803918.4265+15.2461
241:30 PM0.57276426.7272+26.1544
291:35 PM-1.3814513.9412+15.3226

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.