Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 1:05 PM to 1:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 75.9287. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.18344.7184.24Sep 11, 1:05 PM ET1:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.18344.7184.24Sep 11, 1:05 PM ET1:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:05 PM ET75.9287
Projected value at 1:34 PM ET-0.126043
Actual value at 1:34 PM ET2.46912
Projected change across the window-76.0547
Actual change across the window-73.4596
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:34 PM ET), where they sat 2.59516 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (1:08 PM ET) with a gap of 75.6056. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (1:34 PM ET), a move of -11.4721. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:06 PM14.485684.636+70.1504
61:11 PM11.610478.475+66.8646
121:17 PM6.7358456.9493+50.2134
181:23 PM3.7000114.9632+11.2632
241:29 PM1.4499428.2566+26.8067
291:34 PM-0.1260432.46912+2.59516

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.