Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 1:04 PM to 1:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 1:04 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 84.636. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.11538.7183.53Sep 11, 1:04 PM ET1:33 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:04 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.11538.7183.53Sep 11, 1:04 PM ET1:33 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:04 PM ET84.636
Projected value at 1:33 PM ET0.833954
Actual value at 1:33 PM ET-12.1346
Projected change across the window-83.8021
Actual change across the window-96.7706
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (1:32 PM ET), where they sat 2.11727 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (1:06 PM ET) with a gap of 75.6329. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (1:33 PM ET), a move of -14.6037. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:05 PM14.315389.3706+75.0552
61:10 PM12.799176.439+63.6398
121:16 PM7.7193249.6169+41.8976
181:22 PM4.8261413.8471+9.02092
241:28 PM1.828928.1824+26.3535
291:33 PM0.833954-12.1346-12.9685

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.