Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 1:02 PM to 1:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 89.5537. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.0335.5683.16Sep 11, 1:02 PM ET1:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.0335.5683.16Sep 11, 1:02 PM ET1:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:02 PM ET89.5537
Projected value at 1:31 PM ET0.350469
Actual value at 1:31 PM ET-11.8706
Projected change across the window-89.2032
Actual change across the window-101.424
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (1:28 PM ET), where they sat 1.46426 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:02 PM ET) with a gap of 76.8731. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (1:29 PM ET), a move of -14.6037. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:03 PM12.585187.4765+74.8914
61:08 PM9.17871.4926+62.3146
121:14 PM5.5034133.8287+28.3253
181:20 PM3.424519.3154+15.8909
241:26 PM1.3250919.7015+18.3764
291:31 PM0.350469-11.8706-12.2211

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.