Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 1:00 PM to 1:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 83.1478. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.4132.3677.13Sep 11, 1:00 PM ET1:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.4132.3677.13Sep 11, 1:00 PM ET1:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:00 PM ET83.1478
Projected value at 1:29 PM ET0.653208
Actual value at 1:29 PM ET7.76618
Projected change across the window-82.4946
Actual change across the window-75.3816
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.09×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.09 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (1:24 PM ET), where they sat 0.828465 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:00 PM ET) with a gap of 74.0339. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (1:25 PM ET), a move of -14.6037. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:01 PM9.2560778.475+69.2189
61:06 PM7.0705163.2066+56.1361
121:12 PM5.9586218.4265+12.4679
181:18 PM2.973326.7272+23.7539
241:24 PM1.640652.46912+0.828465
291:29 PM0.6532087.76618+7.11297

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.