Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 12:56 PM to 1:25 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 71.4926. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:25 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.126.5366.17Sep 11, 12:56 PM ET1:25 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:56 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.126.5366.17Sep 11, 12:56 PM ET1:25 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:56 PM ET71.4926
Projected value at 1:25 PM ET0.589302
Actual value at 1:25 PM ET15.5103
Projected change across the window-70.9033
Actual change across the window-55.9824
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.27×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.27 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (1:16 PM ET), where they sat 1.55466 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:56 PM ET) with a gap of 67.1536. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (1:17 PM ET), a move of -14.6037. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:57 PM5.0065467.7324+62.7258
61:02 PM4.8756233.8287+28.9531
121:08 PM4.2902219.3154+15.0252
181:14 PM1.6028119.7015+18.0987
241:20 PM0.779613-4.17721-4.95682
291:25 PM0.58930215.5103+14.921

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.