Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 11:46 AM to 12:15 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 11:46 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.6441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:15 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.353.36115.07Sep 11, 11:46 AM ET12:15 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:46 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.353.36115.07Sep 11, 11:46 AM ET12:15 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:46 AM ET16.6441
Projected value at 12:15 PM ET-0.66471
Actual value at 12:15 PM ET-9.92279
Projected change across the window-17.3088
Actual change across the window-26.5669
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (12:08 PM ET), where they sat 1.0484 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (11:59 AM ET) with a gap of 13.9889. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (12:06 PM ET), a move of -3.06103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:47 AM11.230415.664+4.43354
611:52 AM1.089324.40956+3.32024
1211:58 AM-3.752189.97721+13.7294
1812:04 PM-1.6165210.1176+11.7342
2412:10 PM0.410066-1.03088-1.44095
2912:15 PM-0.66471-9.92279-9.25808

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.