Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 11:35 AM to 12:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.55441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.9915.843.59Sep 11, 11:35 AM ET12:04 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:35 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.9915.843.59Sep 11, 11:35 AM ET12:04 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:35 AM ET7.55441
Projected value at 12:04 PM ET-0.843334
Actual value at 12:04 PM ET-7.29926
Projected change across the window-8.39775
Actual change across the window-14.8537
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:04 PM ET), where they sat 6.45593 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:35 AM ET) with a gap of 39.7676. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (11:44 AM ET), a move of -3.06103. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:36 AM43.73599.97721-33.7587
611:41 AM29.344311.2103-18.134
1211:47 AM17.4746-1.02279-18.4974
1811:53 AM7.09442-9.92279-17.0172
2411:59 AM-0.441702-15.7257-15.284
2912:04 PM-0.843334-7.29926-6.45593

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.