Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 2:42 PM to 3:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 63.5103. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.1733.6468.45Sep 10, 2:42 PM ET3:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.1733.6468.45Sep 10, 2:42 PM ET3:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:42 PM ET63.5103
Projected value at 3:11 PM ET-0.610154
Actual value at 3:11 PM ET0.438971
Projected change across the window-64.1204
Actual change across the window-63.0713
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (3:11 PM ET), where they sat 1.04912 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (2:56 PM ET) with a gap of 66.476. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (3:01 PM ET), a move of -12.9787. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:43 PM8.9475570.3551+61.4076
62:48 PM6.0418656.3103+50.2684
122:54 PM3.6566456.1118+52.4551
183:00 PM3.5897245.4176+41.8279
243:06 PM0.342371-4.95074-5.29311
293:11 PM-0.6101540.438971+1.04912

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.