Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 2:40 PM to 3:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 73.1243. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.87231.1468.15Sep 10, 2:40 PM ET3:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.87231.1468.15Sep 10, 2:40 PM ET3:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:40 PM ET73.1243
Projected value at 3:09 PM ET-0.624453
Actual value at 3:09 PM ET-10.8434
Projected change across the window-73.7487
Actual change across the window-83.9676
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (3:07 PM ET), where they sat 0.0113299 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:40 PM ET) with a gap of 66.7671. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (2:57 PM ET), a move of -12.9787. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:41 PM8.2004972.2772+64.0767
62:46 PM9.8221653.239+43.4168
122:52 PM6.8587570.3838+63.5251
182:58 PM5.3226421.4787+16.156
243:04 PM1.885715.76397+3.87826
293:09 PM-0.624453-10.8434-10.2189

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.