Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 10:41 AM to 11:10 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 10:41 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.45221. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:10 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.59-10.2710.05Sep 9, 10:41 AM ET11:10 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:41 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.59-10.2710.05Sep 9, 10:41 AM ET11:10 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:41 AM ET7.45221
Projected value at 11:10 AM ET-16.8517
Actual value at 11:10 AM ET-33.3228
Projected change across the window-24.3039
Actual change across the window-40.775
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (10:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.00220874 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (11:00 AM ET) with a gap of 17.0659. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (11:03 AM ET), a move of -8.10735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:42 AM-2.2971310.5088+12.8059
610:47 AM9.0247111.4765+2.45176
1210:53 AM4.404685.93309+1.52841
1810:59 AM-7.609878.375+15.9849
2411:05 AM-9.99812-21.6934-11.6953
2911:10 AM-16.8517-33.3228-16.4711

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.