Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 10:36 AM to 11:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 11.4934. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.19-12.798.619Sep 9, 10:36 AM ET11:05 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.19-12.798.619Sep 9, 10:36 AM ET11:05 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:36 AM ET11.4934
Projected value at 11:05 AM ET-17.8187
Actual value at 11:05 AM ET-37.0647
Projected change across the window-29.3121
Actual change across the window-48.5581
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (10:52 AM ET), where they sat 1.85445 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:36 AM ET) with a gap of 25.6414. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (10:53 AM ET), a move of -8.10735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:37 AM-12.858811.4765+24.3353
610:42 AM-9.054666.81103+15.8657
1210:48 AM-8.177388.56618+16.7436
1810:54 AM-10.4001-17.9551-7.55505
2411:00 AM-17.1493-33.3228-16.1735
2911:05 AM-17.8187-37.0647-19.246

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.