Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 4:22 PM to 4:51 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.8912. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:51 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.38-12.68-0.9835Sep 8, 4:22 PM ET4:51 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.38-12.68-0.9835Sep 8, 4:22 PM ET4:51 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:22 PM ET-20.8912
Projected value at 4:51 PM ET0.325671
Actual value at 4:51 PM ET0.152941
Projected change across the window+21.2168
Actual change across the window+21.0441
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:51 PM ET), where they sat 0.172729 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (4:24 PM ET) with a gap of 25.8731. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (4:34 PM ET), a move of +6.48382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:23 PM-0.358926-23.5676-23.2087
64:28 PM-0.496122-23.4316-22.9355
124:34 PM-0.189678-10.8853-10.6956
184:40 PM-0.357633-9.375-9.01737
244:46 PM-0.379493-4.11691-3.73742
294:51 PM0.3256710.152941-0.172729

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.