Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 12:35 PM to 1:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -80.3537. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-74.3-29.2515.79Sep 4, 12:35 PM ET1:04 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-74.3-29.2515.79Sep 4, 12:35 PM ET1:04 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:35 PM ET-80.3537
Projected value at 1:04 PM ET1.66898
Actual value at 1:04 PM ET-18.4228
Projected change across the window+82.0227
Actual change across the window+61.9309
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.32×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.32 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (12:41 PM ET), where they sat 7.07391 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:35 PM ET) with a gap of 101.766. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (12:38 PM ET), a move of +21.0103. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:36 PM21.8438-69.314-91.1578
612:41 PM17.946710.8728-7.07391
1212:47 PM12.131-3.17574-15.3067
1812:53 PM7.78131-23.5816-31.3629
2412:59 PM5.43683-19.811-25.2479
291:04 PM1.66898-18.4228-20.0918

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.