Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 12:32 PM to 1:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -29.3007. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.45-5.20216.04Sep 4, 12:32 PM ET1:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.45-5.20216.04Sep 4, 12:32 PM ET1:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:32 PM ET-29.3007
Projected value at 1:01 PM ET4.08656
Actual value at 1:01 PM ET-3.50074
Projected change across the window+33.3873
Actual change across the window+25.8
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.29×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.29 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:01 PM ET), where they sat 7.5873 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:32 PM ET) with a gap of 47.4832. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:33 PM ET), a move of +18.7346. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:33 PM17.7055-10.5662-28.2717
612:38 PM16.24364.88603-11.3575
1212:44 PM10.7469-17.5463-28.2932
1812:50 PM7.64357-22.4397-30.0833
2412:56 PM5.28776-23.15-28.4378
291:01 PM4.08656-3.50074-7.5873

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.