Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 11:42 AM to 12:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.07794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.84-8.5416.757Sep 4, 11:42 AM ET12:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:42 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.84-8.5416.757Sep 4, 11:42 AM ET12:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:42 AM ET6.07794
Projected value at 12:11 PM ET-25.8938
Actual value at 12:11 PM ET-16.7691
Projected change across the window-31.9717
Actual change across the window-22.8471
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.40×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.40 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (11:42 AM ET), where they sat 1.66469 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (11:55 AM ET) with a gap of 20.9124. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (11:59 AM ET), a move of -2.92132. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:43 AM2.265646.70221+4.43657
611:48 AM-3.992028.81176+12.8038
1211:54 AM-13.70645.71618+19.4226
1812:00 PM-21.7787-4.20221+17.5765
2412:06 PM-21.0574-8.51324+12.5442
2912:11 PM-25.8938-16.7691+9.12465

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.