Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 11:40 AM to 12:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 11:40 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.30662. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.66-10.046.58Sep 4, 11:40 AM ET12:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:40 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.66-10.046.58Sep 4, 11:40 AM ET12:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:40 AM ET7.30662
Projected value at 12:09 PM ET-28.892
Actual value at 12:09 PM ET-18.0956
Projected change across the window-36.1986
Actual change across the window-25.4022
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.43×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.43 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (11:40 AM ET), where they sat 3.87219 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (11:53 AM ET) with a gap of 19.6331. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (11:55 AM ET), a move of -2.92132. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:41 AM1.314087.47574+6.16166
611:46 AM-5.217896.56544+11.7833
1211:52 AM-15.33084.14853+19.4793
1811:58 AM-23.982-5.74191+18.2401
2412:04 PM-23.9459-10.9551+12.9907
2912:09 PM-28.892-18.0956+10.7964

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.