Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 11:06 AM to 11:35 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 11:06 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.2897. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:35 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.34-6.94811.44Sep 4, 11:06 AM ET11:35 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:06 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.34-6.94811.44Sep 4, 11:06 AM ET11:35 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:06 AM ET-17.2897
Projected value at 11:35 AM ET8.63397
Actual value at 11:35 AM ET7.20515
Projected change across the window+25.9237
Actual change across the window+24.4949
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (11:33 AM ET), where they sat 0.43049 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:06 AM ET) with a gap of 10.5195. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (11:09 AM ET), a move of +4.29485. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:07 AM-25.0772-16.6485+8.42863
611:12 AM-10.7165-0.347794+10.3687
1211:18 AM0.275793.41397+3.13818
1811:24 AM4.3123513.5331+9.22074
2411:30 AM6.891218.27206+1.38085
2911:35 AM8.633977.20515-1.42882

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.