Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 10:29 AM to 10:58 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 10:29 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 11.6169. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:58 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-45.99-16.6112.77Sep 4, 10:29 AM ET10:58 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:29 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-45.99-16.6112.77Sep 4, 10:29 AM ET10:58 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:29 AM ET11.6169
Projected value at 10:58 AM ET5.50255
Actual value at 10:58 AM ET16.5463
Projected change across the window-6.11436
Actual change across the window+4.92941
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (10:51 AM ET), where they sat 9.42514 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:29 AM ET) with a gap of 61.5548. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (10:30 AM ET), a move of -2.02426. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:30 AM-48.04939.59265+57.6419
610:35 AM-26.25284.62868+30.8815
1210:41 AM-12.19894.66985+16.8687
1810:47 AM-5.428846.9+12.3288
2410:53 AM3.6919213.9184+10.2265
2910:58 AM5.5025516.5463+11.0438

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.