Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 7:36 AM to 8:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 7:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.1081. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.548612.0824.71Sep 4, 7:36 AM ET8:05 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.548612.0824.71Sep 4, 7:36 AM ET8:05 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:36 AM ET23.1081
Projected value at 8:05 AM ET0.737991
Actual value at 8:05 AM ET-2.24485
Projected change across the window-22.3701
Actual change across the window-25.3529
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (8:04 AM ET), where they sat 0.398342 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (7:55 AM ET) with a gap of 19.5546. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (7:42 AM ET), a move of -3.88382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:37 AM8.2776925.4824+17.2047
67:42 AM7.2979221.0603+13.7624
127:48 AM4.2923418.7+14.4077
187:54 AM2.9422422.3059+19.3636
248:00 AM1.6831413.6338+11.9507
298:05 AM0.737991-2.24485-2.98284

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.