Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 7:34 AM to 8:03 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 7:34 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.2404. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:03 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.7559.31524.38Sep 4, 7:34 AM ET8:03 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.7559.31524.38Sep 4, 7:34 AM ET8:03 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:34 AM ET26.2404
Projected value at 8:03 AM ET-0.243449
Actual value at 8:03 AM ET-7.77868
Projected change across the window-26.4839
Actual change across the window-34.0191
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.78 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (8:00 AM ET), where they sat 1.1526 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (7:51 AM ET) with a gap of 20.109. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (7:38 AM ET), a move of -3.88382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:35 AM7.4972126.3044+18.8072
67:40 AM6.5402116.3294+9.7892
127:46 AM4.0050620.3309+16.3258
187:52 AM1.8112121.6404+19.8292
247:58 AM0.01972236.87647+6.85675
298:03 AM-0.243449-7.77868-7.53523

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.