Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 6:28 AM to 6:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 6:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.86324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.31810.720.08Sep 4, 6:28 AM ET6:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.31810.720.08Sep 4, 6:28 AM ET6:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:28 AM ET4.86324
Projected value at 6:57 AM ET1.52508
Actual value at 6:57 AM ET0.0580882
Projected change across the window-3.33816
Actual change across the window-4.80515
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (6:36 AM ET), where they sat 0.0187067 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (6:42 AM ET) with a gap of 14.3345. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (6:57 AM ET), a move of -4.55882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:29 AM9.983666.16176-3.8219
66:34 AM9.9041310.4463+0.542198
126:40 AM7.1792520.086+12.9068
186:46 AM4.4797713.7316+9.25185
246:52 AM1.9933512.7434+10.75
296:57 AM1.525080.0580882-1.46699

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.