Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 6:10 AM to 6:39 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 6:10 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.7316. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:39 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.97-3.11511.74Sep 4, 6:10 AM ET6:39 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:10 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.97-3.11511.74Sep 4, 6:10 AM ET6:39 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:10 AM ET13.7316
Projected value at 6:39 AM ET0.0424191
Actual value at 6:39 AM ET-7.09926
Projected change across the window-13.6892
Actual change across the window-20.8309
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.66×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.66 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (6:20 AM ET), where they sat 0.65611 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (6:26 AM ET) with a gap of 21.3586. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (6:23 AM ET), a move of -4.89853. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:11 AM6.6688812.4162+5.7473
66:16 AM5.8115612.7434+6.93182
126:22 AM3.17577-4.6625-7.83827
186:28 AM1.03391-19.6559-20.6898
246:34 AM0.065383-13.7265-13.7919
296:39 AM0.0424191-7.09926-7.14168

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.