Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 4:32 AM to 5:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 4:32 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.2801. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.1515.28118.71Sep 4, 4:32 AM ET5:01 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.1515.28118.71Sep 4, 4:32 AM ET5:01 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:32 AM ET20.2801
Projected value at 5:01 AM ET-0.00913385
Actual value at 5:01 AM ET-7.13529
Projected change across the window-20.2893
Actual change across the window-27.4154
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (4:41 AM ET), where they sat 0.0983476 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (4:58 AM ET) with a gap of 10.8436. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (4:38 AM ET), a move of -2.47868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:33 AM11.666820.5176+8.85087
64:38 AM7.6630111.3985+3.73552
124:44 AM6.449972.29118-4.1588
184:50 AM4.385663.42132-0.964336
244:56 AM1.61396-7.92647-9.54043
295:01 AM-0.00913385-7.13529-7.12616

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.