Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 4:30 AM to 4:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.7426. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.3153.89416.1Sep 4, 4:30 AM ET4:59 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.3153.89416.1Sep 4, 4:30 AM ET4:59 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:30 AM ET17.7426
Projected value at 4:59 AM ET-0.349335
Actual value at 4:59 AM ET-1.44485
Projected change across the window-18.092
Actual change across the window-19.1875
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (4:33 AM ET), where they sat 0.905188 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (4:53 AM ET) with a gap of 11.5657. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (4:33 AM ET), a move of -2.47868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:31 AM12.286515.8971+3.61055
64:36 AM10.38216.33603-4.0461
124:42 AM7.336224.93529-2.40092
184:48 AM5.05524-2.95294-8.00818
244:54 AM1.68168-9.46912-11.1508
294:59 AM-0.349335-1.44485-1.09552

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.