Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 3:44 AM to 4:13 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 3:44 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.10809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:13 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.22147.6815.14Sep 4, 3:44 AM ET4:13 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:44 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.22147.6815.14Sep 4, 3:44 AM ET4:13 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:44 AM ET3.10809
Projected value at 4:13 AM ET-0.780355
Actual value at 4:13 AM ET-0.176471
Projected change across the window-3.88844
Actual change across the window-3.28456
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.18×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.18 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (4:01 AM ET), where they sat 0.236051 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:44 AM ET) with a gap of 13.033. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (4:04 AM ET), a move of +2.20662. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:45 AM16.11225.11838-10.9938
63:50 AM11.07118.01912-3.05198
123:56 AM6.487974.61544-1.87253
184:02 AM2.512784.0625+1.54972
244:08 AM0.1630786.82279+6.65972
294:13 AM-0.780355-0.176471+0.603884

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.