Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 3:42 AM to 4:11 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 3:42 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.26324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:11 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.67537.01713.36Sep 4, 3:42 AM ET4:11 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:42 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.67537.01713.36Sep 4, 3:42 AM ET4:11 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:42 AM ET6.26324
Projected value at 4:11 AM ET0.33635
Actual value at 4:11 AM ET0.388235
Projected change across the window-5.92689
Actual change across the window-5.875
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (3:58 AM ET), where they sat 0.0288754 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:42 AM ET) with a gap of 7.78884. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (4:00 AM ET), a move of +2.20662. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:43 AM14.21127.09853-7.11263
63:48 AM11.73497.87647-3.85846
123:54 AM7.517173.13382-4.38334
184:00 AM2.55028.11912+5.56892
244:06 AM0.8470023.27059+2.42359
294:11 AM0.336350.388235+0.0518852

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.