Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 3:11 AM to 3:40 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 3:11 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 2.01765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:40 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.3255.59912.52Sep 4, 3:11 AM ET3:40 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:11 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.3255.59912.52Sep 4, 3:11 AM ET3:40 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:11 AM ET2.01765
Projected value at 3:40 AM ET0.801803
Actual value at 3:40 AM ET-0.225
Projected change across the window-1.21584
Actual change across the window-2.24265
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (3:27 AM ET), where they sat 0.456947 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (3:14 AM ET) with a gap of 8.55688. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (3:33 AM ET), a move of -2.17059. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:12 AM11.37563.26029-8.11529
63:17 AM13.39386.2375-7.15628
123:23 AM12.01077.27574-4.73492
183:29 AM7.66876.79706-0.871641
243:35 AM3.19023-2.25515-5.44538
293:40 AM0.801803-0.225-1.0268

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.