Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 1:35 AM to 2:04 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.36397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:04 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.8120.93578.684Sep 4, 1:35 AM ET2:04 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:35 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.8120.93578.684Sep 4, 1:35 AM ET2:04 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:35 AM ET9.36397
Projected value at 2:04 AM ET-0.764384
Actual value at 2:04 AM ET-5.23529
Projected change across the window-10.1284
Actual change across the window-14.5993
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (1:50 AM ET), where they sat 0.643753 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (1:44 AM ET) with a gap of 13.1957. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (1:50 AM ET), a move of -3.39926. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:36 AM0.7110249.72426+9.01324
61:41 AM-2.267138.33603+10.6032
121:47 AM-4.003114.87794+8.88105
181:53 AM-2.96304-7.85294-4.88991
241:59 AM-0.417307-4.75441-4.3371
292:04 AM-0.764384-5.23529-4.47091

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.