Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 7:05 PM to 7:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.4419. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.9317.1632.4Sep 3, 7:05 PM ET7:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.9317.1632.4Sep 3, 7:05 PM ET7:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:05 PM ET34.4419
Projected value at 7:34 PM ET-0.0439719
Actual value at 7:34 PM ET16.6081
Projected change across the window-34.4859
Actual change across the window-17.8338
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (7:10 PM ET), where they sat 14.0892 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:05 PM ET) with a gap of 25.4915. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (7:07 PM ET), a move of -3.92059. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:06 PM8.8677732.264+23.3962
67:11 PM5.7975320.7294+14.9319
127:17 PM3.6270323.3956+19.7686
187:23 PM1.5787421.9309+20.3521
247:29 PM0.081904720.2191+20.1372
297:34 PM-0.043971916.6081+16.6521

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.