Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:59 PM to 7:28 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.7294. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:28 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.257712.7425.73Sep 3, 6:59 PM ET7:28 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:59 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.257712.7425.73Sep 3, 6:59 PM ET7:28 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:59 PM ET20.7294
Projected value at 7:28 PM ET0.341414
Actual value at 7:28 PM ET-2.00294
Projected change across the window-20.388
Actual change across the window-22.7324
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (7:27 PM ET), where they sat 1.7321 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (7:03 PM ET) with a gap of 20.6557. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (7:28 PM ET), a move of -4.06471. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:00 PM6.8916223.2007+16.3091
67:05 PM5.8157723.3956+17.5798
127:11 PM3.992321.9309+17.9386
187:17 PM2.1273320.2191+18.0918
247:23 PM0.82808713.9507+13.1226
297:28 PM0.341414-2.00294-2.34435

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.