Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:47 PM to 7:16 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 21.9309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:16 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.74-0.604820.54Sep 3, 6:47 PM ET7:16 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.74-0.604820.54Sep 3, 6:47 PM ET7:16 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:47 PM ET21.9309
Projected value at 7:16 PM ET-0.268187
Actual value at 7:16 PM ET-20.3846
Projected change across the window-22.1991
Actual change across the window-42.3154
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.52 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (7:04 PM ET), where they sat 1.90293 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (7:10 PM ET) with a gap of 24.5301. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (7:05 PM ET), a move of -4.43676. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:48 PM2.5415322.9941+20.4526
66:53 PM1.6626220.2191+18.5565
126:59 PM0.67205813.9507+13.2787
187:05 PM0.115533-6.43971-6.55524
247:11 PM-0.157525-24.2404-24.0829
297:16 PM-0.268187-20.3846-20.1164

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.