Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:45 PM to 7:14 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.3743. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:14 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.74-0.604820.54Sep 3, 6:45 PM ET7:14 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.74-0.604820.54Sep 3, 6:45 PM ET7:14 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:45 PM ET23.3743
Projected value at 7:14 PM ET-0.217396
Actual value at 7:14 PM ET-23.2375
Projected change across the window-23.5917
Actual change across the window-46.6118
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.51 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (6:59 PM ET), where they sat 1.35035 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (7:06 PM ET) with a gap of 24.4753. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (7:01 PM ET), a move of -4.43676. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:46 PM1.3811923.2316+21.8504
66:51 PM1.5534819.0706+17.5171
126:57 PM0.9165478.69044+7.77389
187:03 PM-0.31873-15.1625-14.8438
247:09 PM0.17162-21.2632-21.4349
297:14 PM-0.217396-23.2375-23.0201

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.